2011/07/12

Individuals Become Private Banks In US - Business News You Can Use

Someone once said if someone offers me a guaranteed return then it guarantees they will make more. And if both parties are satisfied then it's not a bad arrangement. Individuals need to be savvy with their money.

When I first began to investigate this thing called private lending I was concerned that it was a scam. Yet the more I looked at it I realized that anyone who has ever opened a savings account at a bank, invested in a CD, or has an IRA is a private lender. In each of those instances there is someone or some institution that will pay us an interest rate so they can use our money to make more for themselves. As I said before, that's not a bad arrangement but it did beg the question, could an individual safely make more for themselves.

Banks have existed for centuries for a good reason - they are profitable. Individuals can do this and participate in some of the same benefits through something called "private lending."

What is a Private Lender? Private lenders are individuals with money to lend for investment purposes. They may or may not be wealthy, but they do have excess cash or assets available over and above what they need to live on. These individuals are willing to lend for a higher return than they can get with bank CD's or money markets. They usually lend against assets but will, at times, lend unsecured.

Private money lending became very popular as interest rates on traditional Money Markets and CD's dropped below 5%.

People with extra cash started looking for higher interest rates. So if they could get the high interest rate and enough security (collateral) they were willing to do loans without personal credit or the need to be worried about credit scores. That started the revolution that you see today where private money lenders are as big and popular as other types of lenders were 10 years ago. This trend toward private money will remain as long as the rate of return is greater than bank interest rates.

Though a private lender can be found in the art world, the auto industry, the antique's arena it is most often found in the real estate market. I will confine my investigation to the real estate industry.

One warning that I must immediately give is you should never give your money directly to the real estate investor. Instead send it to a 3rd party like the closing attorney or title company. If someone asks you to give him or her your check directly then do not even consider doing business with him or her. When the funds are distributed at the closing table to the investor it assures you that all the proper documents were signed and recorded for your protection.

There are 5 items that must be required by every private lender.

1) You must have a promissory note, which will state the amount borrowed and the terms for repayment.

2) You must have lenders title insurance, which will protect the lender in case something happened within the title somewhere along the line.

3) You must have a mortgage or deed of trust, depending on your state, recorded in your name in the county of the real estate.

4) You must get an After Repair Value Opinion; this can come through an appraiser or a real estate agent, they both access the same information. You need this because the total loans on the property should not exceed 80% and preferably 70-75%. This protects you regardless of the number of mortgages on the property

5) And lastly, you must be listed as a beneficiary on the Hazard/Fire/Property Insurance, which will protect you completely if the home is destroyed or damaged.

One of the benefits of Private Lending is that your funds will be earning the stated interest from day one, the day the investor closes on the purchase. The downside is that once the property is sold the real estate investor should return your money. When that happens you will no longer be earning the high rate of return. Yet, in most cases, the real estate investor will borrow your money again shortly.

Statically, the annual average rate of return for real estate private lending is higher than other investments. If you were to earn 10% on your money for 4 months or 3% on your money for 12 months, the 10% earns more.

Another area where private lenders can become their own bank is in the area of bridge loans. A bridge loan is a bit riskier but is a common entity. Bridge loans are borrowed funds to get the time required to sort out the issues of a specific transaction and meet rigorous timetables or when the sale of one property overlaps with the purchase of another. When bridge loans approach their maturity deadline, they are paid off either through refinancing or the sale of the other home. Some bridge loans are hours long but most are for months.

Private lending offers a good rate of return yet you should not put your last penny into it. Diversification is critical to any investment strategy. When adding to your wealth you need to have different items in your portfolio.

For many individuals private lending is more comfortable because it is much less affected by repeated marketplace fluctuations. In reality, throughout times of economic turbulence in the stock market, private lending transactions are looked upon in a favorable light. It is a stable investment that can return monthly income or lump sum income like a zero coupon bond.

Nonetheless, the possibility of foreclosure is real. A private lender is more protected than a bank in a foreclosure or deed-in-lieu of foreclosure situation. A private lender will have more of an equity cushion than most banks. A private lender should have at least 20-25% equity in the property, or they shouldn't become a lender. Maintaining that cushion allows a private lender to become involved at any level of mortgage, whether it is a 1st mortgage or a 5th mortgage.

There is a long a history of private money lenders investing their own money in real estate investments. Like many things, private money comes and goes depending largely on interest rates and the demand from real estate investors and other investors.

Many homeowners are able to become private lenders through the help of their own bank. They arrange an Equity Line (HELOC) with their bank on their home. Then borrow the cash at a rate of 3-4%. When you lend those funds you will be very much like your own bank (you are paying the bank interest to use their money to lend to someone else, sound familiar).

As a private lender you will be earning 8-10% or more from the real estate investor. Your net return, or "spread" as the banks call it, is 5 to 6 percent; that is your profit. At a 5% spread, on a $150,000 loan, you will earn $20.54 per day or $7500 for the year. The other benefit is that when the investor pays back the loan, the equity line stops charging interest as well.

One surprise I discovered was that the IRS approves of these transactions within your IRA. And if you have a self-directed IRA, you can use your retirement money to become a private lender and your earning will accumulate tax deferred or tax-free, depending on your IRA. Creating a self-directed IRA means you direct a 3rd party to do what you want with your money. The two largest 3rd parties that handle self directed IRA are Equity Trust (http://www.trustetc.com) and Entrust Group (http://www.theentrustgroup.com).

No investment is completely free of worry, yet there are methods to making your investment as safe as possible. If you insist on a promissory note, a mortgage, a hazard insurance policy and lenders title insurance the majority of your worries have been resolved. It is not uncommon to have the real estate investor pay for those costs.

Throughout this investigation it became more apparent that, as with all investments, a careful person can become a wealthy private lender. Though many banks seem to hide this from their depositors, anyone can become a private lender. Private lending is the quickest way for a person to make passive income. When secured with real estate, the risks are extremely low.


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2011/07/11

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Best Investment Options in Oil

Investment in oil is beneficial if one is interested in buying an exchange targeted Fund (ETF). This kind of investment may vary as of companies (e.g. ETF securities and Lyxor). Traded just like shares, ETFs reflect the price of a specific asset or index. To reduce the effect due to "contango" that happens as a result of higher oil prices for future delivery as compared to current oil price, buyers should consult a stockbroker who can suggest when to invest in ETFs. The contango can influence funds relating to near-term futures contracts that depend on the oil price.

Another option is that one can purchase shares in big companies such as Shell and BP. Buy shares of mid-sized businesses such as Cairn as well as oil "minnows" such as Tullow Oil.

* Shell: The Company pays reasonable dividend and its shares yield around 6pc. The payment is safe despite of fluctuation.

* BP: As if now shares of the company is traded at about 410p. However, the stockbroker has raised target price to 580p. In future, the shares will further rise.

* Cairn: Because of Vedanta deal, the shares of the Company drop about 9pc. However, Cairn has tried to keep its price to 446p despite of changing market scenario. In future, Vedanta deal will turn fruitful and the company will be able to achieve target price of 500p.

At present, the best option seems that one can look forward to invest in funds. Since commodities and resources companies come at a third place of the FTSE Index therefore it is surprisingly difficult to avoid changing oil prices. As per studies, there are the two BlackRock Funds which have huge oil investments. They are the BlackRock Commodities Income investment trust and the BlackRock World Energy fund.

Investec Global Energy is primarily related to companies that are into oil production, refinery and other services. The CF Junior Oils Trust is associated to companies which are into gas exploration and production. If one can take bigger risks then why not try spread betting. This type of investment option involves a low-cost method of gambling on commodities where one has higher chances of risk. With spread betting, one can bet on the future movement of oil price, but get ready to face higher risks because of uncertain oil market. Companies such as City Index or IG will allow spread betting. However, one should not indulge in spread betting without knowing implications.

The author is an experienced writer in oil related fields, who frequently writes articles related to oil prices & indexes and crude oil including tips on investment in oil. Please visit oil.com for more details.


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2011/07/10

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How To Invest a Financial Windfall!

Just how do you go about investing a windfall? The answer is prudently, with proper planning.

For most of us, a financial windfall is something we dream of. For the lucky few, it becomes a reality. This financial windfall could be from the lottery. Or it could be from an inheritance or stock options; from a maturing life policy or retirement lump sum; or from selling your business.

That sudden windfall can bring real elation but can also cause confusion and stress. It can be quite an emotional time. Some people feel a sense of guilt and want to give away large sums immediately. Others go on a spending spree and blow most of their windfall before they have a chance to think through their options.

So what should you with your windfall? The best approach is to take your time. Pay the lump sum into a bank account and wait, while the news properly sinks in. Then weigh up all your options. By all means consider gifts and frivolous ideas and whims, such as the dream house or the Lamborghini but do take the time to think. After your initial elation subsides, you need to take a hard nosed look at some important issues.

For example, some people think about giving up work. That's fine, if the sums stack up. If, say, you win, or come into, £1 million at the age of 30, you've probably got a good 50 years left to live. Taking that sum on a cash basis for ballpark planning purposes, this would leave you with £20,000 a year for life to live off. That's OK but not going to fund a lavish lifestyle. Then take inflation into account, say at a conservative average of 2% per year, and by the time you reach 65, your £20,000 will be worth half what it is today. And you'll still have 15 years to go!

So you would need to think carefully about the sort of investments you make at the outset, to optimise your returns to fund the lifestyle you want. And you may still need to work - or perhaps create a new business venture of your own!

Of course, if you come into £1 million at the age of 60 or 70, it's a somewhat different picture.

Whatever, you need to take stock of your financial situation. Use this initial period to think about your financial future and your financial objectives. What do you want to achieve with the money? What sort of lifestyle do you want? How much can you spend each year? What's the best way to invest the money to achieve your objectives - cash, property, equities? Are there gaps in your insurance coverage? Do you need estate or inheritance tax planning?

If you have consumer debts, - mortgage, loans, overdraft, credit cards - in most cases it probably makes sense to consider clearing them first and then to look at what to do with your net lump sum.

As you can appreciate, it is crucial that you get expert financial advice, to help you with your financial planning process. The insight and experience of a good financial adviser, plus tax and legal experts, can help you make the most of your new opportunity. They can show you how long your windfall might last, based on projected investment returns and withdrawal rates. They can also explain all the various investment options, so you can select those that match your objectives, timescales and attitude to risk. From there, they can help you structure the appropriate asset allocation strategy for your investment portfolio.

Your financial adviser can also help you with other financial needs, such as life insurance and long-term care. Whatever your windfall, life insurance cover may be needed to help meet your family's ongoing needs as well as help pay inheritance tax expenses should you die. And an extended stay in a hospital or nursing home can seriously eat into your assets. A long-term care policy may help cover the costs.

A financial windfall could also raise the need for inheritance tax planning, whilst it will be important to make sure at this stage that you make a will. If you have one already, make sure that it is updated.

So all in all, if you come into a financial windfall, don't go bananas! Take your time before deciding what to do with it - and talk to professional financial advisers as well as your family.

Chris Flood, MA (Oxon), MBA, is a marketing and management consultant based in Bristol UK. He writes articles on investments and financial planning as well as other subjects. To find out more on how to invest a windfall, please go to http://www.kelland-gloucester.com/how-to-invest-a-windfall.asp.

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Asian stocks boosted by US manufacturing rebound (AP)

BANGKOK – Asian stock markets rose Monday on the heels of a report showing a rebound in U.S. manufacturing, reinforcing the view that the slowdown in the world's No. 1 economy was only temporary.

Japan's Nikkei 225 index was 1 percent higher at 9,965.09, having breached the psychologically important 10,000 mark earlier in the day for the first time since May 5. Sentiment was lifted by optimism about the U.S. economy after manufacturing data for June from the Institute for Supply Management beat expectations.

Exporters were among the index's major gainers. Honda Motor Corp. jumped 3.2 percent. Toyota Motor Corp. was up 1.7 percent. Consumer electronics giant Panasonic Corp. moved 0.7 percent higher.

Companies that do well during times of economic expansion enjoyed broad gains. Japan's Komatsu Corp., a world leader in heavy equipment manufacturing, added 2.1 percent. Korean steel maker POSCO rose 0.9 percent.

Materials shares were also higher, including Hong Kong-listed Zijin Mining Group, China's biggest gold miner, which jumped 4.3 percent.

Meanwhile, rising crude prices helped lift oil-related shares. Hong Kong-listed China National Offshore Oil Corp., known as CNOOC, rose 2.3 percent.

Shares of Singapore-based Tiger Airways Holdings Ltd. plummeted 11.3 percent after Australian regulators grounded all Australian domestic flights of a Tiger subsidiary over safety concerns. Australia's Qantas Airways, one of Tiger's main competitors, soared 6.1 percent.

Elsewhere, South Korea's Kospi rose 0.9 percent to 2,145.30. Hong Kong's Hang Seng rose 1.8 percent to 22,796.37. Benchmarks in Australia, mainland China, Singapore, Taiwan and Indonesia also rose.

Thailand's SET index jumped 4.1 percent to 1,084.28 after the party backed by the country's deposed Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra won a landslide election victory. The poll came a year after the government crushed protests by Thaksin supporters with a bloody crackdown that culminated in some of the worst violence in Thailand in 20 years.

On Friday, the surprising rebound in the Institute of Supply Management's U.S. manufacturing capped a weeklong rally that left the Dow up 5.4 percent for the week, its best week in two years. The Dow rose 1.4 percent to 12,582.77. The Standard and Poor's 500 index gained 1.4 percent to 1,339.67. The Nasdaq composite added 1.5 percent to 2,816.03.

Also last week, Japan released data showing its industrial production posted the sharpest rise in nearly six decades in May. The improvement adds to signs that the world's No. 3 economy is rebuilding after a March 11 earthquake and tsunami damaged factories and caused parts shortages for manufacturers.

Those developments came after many economists had began lowering their estimates for U.S. growth in May after a string of negative reports on U.S. manufacturing and hiring. Some analysts continued to caution against too much optimism, given a host of other lingering threats: galloping inflation in China, the European debt crisis and high oil prices.

"I think the environment that we are in — there are still a lot of headwinds as far as equities go. I suspect this relief rally is going to be short-lived," said Tey Tze Ming, a trader at Saxo Capital Markets in Singapore. "If growth slows any further, stocks are not going to be doing well."

Benchmark crude for August delivery was up 10 cents to $95.05 in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange on Monday. The contract declined 48 cents to settle at $94.94 per barrel on the Nymex on Friday.

In currencies, the euro rose to $1.4527 from $1.4511 in late trading in New York on Friday. The dollar weakened to 80.75 yen from 80.84 yen.


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PART 1: Understanding Basic Options

Options Basics

To explain how credit spreads work, we need to understand a little about options.

Options, in their most basic form are the right but not the obligation to do buy or sell something at a specific price for a specific period of time. Options are basically, a paper contract on a real position, and paper is bought and sold in the open market place. Usually the CBOE (Chicago Board of Options Exchange).

Options give us choices in the trading world. Options serve as a contract between two parties: he Buyer and the Seller. The buyer of the options has rights where as the seller has obligations. When an option is purchased, a person is purchasing the right to buy a stock at specific price (Call Option) or sell a stock at a specific price (Put Option).

Let's break this down a little further. There are two types of options. The first is known as a "call option." When purchased, it gives the buyer the right to call the stock away from someone else at a specific price and at a specific time in the future.

Let's demonstrate this using real estate as the example. If you are in the housing market and identify a nice home in a nice area that you think will increase in value in the next year, you can do a couple of things to profit from this movement of perception. Let's say that you find a home in a rural neighborhood for $250,000 and your analysis predicts that the home is going to go up to $300,000 in the next year. Your first choice open to you would be to just purchase the house outright for the $250,000 and a year later if the house appreciated to $300,000 in value you could sell the house and realize a profit. If you were right on your assessment you would yield a $50,000 profit off of your $250,000 investment, a 20% return.

However, there is also another choice open to in this case. You could approach the homeowner and offer to give him or her 5% of the value of the home or $12,500 to have the right to buy the home for $250,000 sometime in the future. No matter what the market does the homeowner gets to keep the $12,500 and can spend it immediately. Let's say the home owner gives you one year in which to buy the home for the $250,000. So just like the previous example you have locked in the right to buy the home for $250,000 but in this scenario you only had to put up $12,500 for that right. Should the home appreciate to $300,000 the contract that you have with the homeowner would be worth $50,000. As you can see, by leveraging yourself a little better you allowed yourself to invest $12,500 in order to make $50,000 and gave yourself a 400% return on investment. You bought the right to buy something for an extended period of time and you were willing to give up some money up front to have that right.

However, now let's imagine a scenario in which that same house depreciated by $50,000 instead of appreciating by $50,000. If you had purchasing the home for the full $250,000 you would have lost $50,000 in the value of the home, definitely not a good day at the office. However if you had only purchased an option, you would have put up only $12,500 to have the right to buy the home for $250,000 within the year. Once you had realized a year later the home was now only worth $200,000 you could simply allow our option to purchase the home to simply expire in which you would lose the entire $12,500. While it is still not a great day at the office you did manage to lose a lot less money through the use of an option than you would have by simply purchasing the home.

This same type of analysis can often be used in the stock market as well. We feel that a stock may appreciate in value and instead of purchasing the stock outright we can often times purchase an option to purchase the stock at fair market value for a later date, for a fraction of the cost.

Let me give you an example: XYZ stock is trading at $140.00 per share. If I thought that XYZ was going to appreciate to $160.00 in the next 2 months I could buy 100 shares for $ 14,000.00 and if it went to $160 I could then sell my shares for $16,000.00 and profit $2,000.00 on the trade for a return of 14% on my initial investment.

My second choice is that I could purchase an option for $600.00 which allows me to purchase 100 shares of XYZ for $140.00 in three months. If XYZ's stock goes up to $160.00 a share in the next three months then my option will increase to $2,000.00. I could simply sell my option for $2,000.00 leaving me a credit of $1400.00 in the trade or a return on investment of 233%.

By purchasing an option-or to be more specific, a "call option" which gives me the right to call the stock away from the market at $140 per share between now and the next three months-I am allowing myself to profit if the stock appreciates and I have avoided putting up the large sum of money that would have been required for me to purchase the stock initially..

The opposite of a call option is a "put option." If you purchase a put option you are purchasing the right, not the obligation, to "put" the stock to someone else at a specific price and at a specific time in the future. So, when we think something is going to increase in price we want to look at buying call options, and when we think something is going to decrease in price we want to look at put options.

Think of the homeowners insurance you purchase every single month. You buy this insurance to protect you in the case that your house decreases in value due to some catastrophic event. If your home was to burn down then you could simply exercise your insurance policy and "put" your house to your insurance company and they will be obliged to give you the amount that you are insured for. When you purchase homeowners insurance you are buying the right to capture your losses should your home depreciate or go down in value because of some unforeseen catastrophe.

Remember that in the stock market, for every person that thinks something is going up there is someone else with the opposite opinion. It is easy to understand that if you think a stock is going to go up in value you want to buy the stock low and sell it higher. However, let's talk about what people can do who think that a stock may go down in price and want to profit off of this bearish biased stock. A trader who believes a stock is going to depreciate in value "shorts" the stock at a specific price. This means that they go to their broker and borrow the stock with the promise of repaying it back in the future. They want to sell high and then buy the stock back at a lower price and then give the stock back to the broker allowing them to keep the difference between selling high and buying back at a lower point.

If you were looking at XYZ which is currently trading at $140 a share and your analysis said that it was going to decrease to $120 a share in the next couple of months, then there are a couple of things that you can do.

Firstly, you could go into your brokerage site and short 100 shares of XYZ for $14,000.00. You are borrowing stock that you do not own with the promise to purchase stock in the future and return it to your brokerage firm at a future date. If XYZ goes down to $120.00 a share, you could purchase 100 shares of XYZ a few months later for $12,000.00 and give the shares back to your brokerage firm, thereby closing the trade. Since you sold something for $14,000.00 and purchased it back for $ 12,000.00 you are left with a profit of $2,000.00, a return on investment of 14%.

The second possible scenario is that if you thought XYZ's stock, currently trading at $160, was going to decrease in value you could purchase a put option for $600.00 which allows you the right to put the stock (or sell the stock) to someone else for $160 a share. If after a few months XYZ goes down to $140.00 your put option would be worth $2000.00 (since you could purchase 100 shares of XYZ at its lower price of $120 a share or 12,000.00 for 100 shares and have the right to sell it for $140 a share or $14,000 for 100 shares). At this time you could sell your put option for the $2,000.00 giving you a profit of $1,400.00, a return on investment of 233%.

As you can see, options lower your cost to get in the trade, thereby lowering your risk. And when the analysis is correct, using options gives you the opportunity to realize a larger return on investment.

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ASUS Eee Pad Transformer TF101 Keyboard/Docking Station

ASUS Eee Pad Transformer TF101 Keyboard/Docking StationThe Eee Pad Transformer Docking Station from ASUS is a portable docking station that is compatible with the TF101 Transformer tablet. Simply connect this dock to the tablet in order to transform the touchscreen device into a notebook with physical keyboard and trackpad! The dock features a built-in 8-hour battery - effectively doubling the battery life of the TF101. In addition to a chiclet-style keyboard, it boasts a trackpad with multi-touch gesture support, an SD card reader and two USB 2.0 ports. It can be used at a desk or on-the-go.

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Fisher-Price Brilliant Basics Baby's First Blocks

Fisher-Price Brilliant Basics Baby's First BlocksTen bright blocks are ready for baby to drop into the open bucket or through the shape-sorting lid. Baby will love filling the bucket with blocks, dumping them out, then starting over again. Great for eye-hand coordination and other early skills. Then baby can move on to sorting and stacking and learning about identifying and matching shapes. Includes plastic shape-sorting box with take-anywhere handle and ten colorful blocks.

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2011/07/08

Is Binary Options Trading Right For You?

Trading binary options, or digital options as they are sometimes referred to, gives traders much more flexibility and choices than conventional forms of options trading. This type of trading allows traders the opportunity to trade a large variety of financial instruments including stocks, commodities, currencies, and more. Trading digital options offers traders the opportunity to realize profits from 60-80% on trades in a very short period, even as little as one hour in many cases.

The advantages this style of trading offers are that trading is a simple process, and there is limited risk involved as opposed to trading conventional options. Traders only have to be right as far as price direction is concerned in order to profit. Binary options are issued 24 hours a day and the trader can choose different time frames for each trade. The risk involved is predetermined and fixed, so traders know exactly what the profit or loss will be on any given trade.

Digital options are far less risky than other forms of trading, particularly Forex, because there is no leverage or "stop loss" conditions involved. Traders don't have to worry about trades going against their position and incurring huge losses. Risk is always limited to the amount invested in each individual trade. This gives traders the flexibility to trade even the most volatile markets with only a small amount of risk.

Profits are realized when trades go into the money by a single tick. Traders don't have to worry about the price reaching a certain point to realize profits.

Traders never have to worry about margin calls with binary options trading. The account minimum required to begin trading is far less than what is required to trade other markets such as Forex, commodities and stocks.

There is virtually no limit on what can be traded. Options are issued on the most popular instruments such as currencies, gold, oil, and stocks.

Other benefits include:

‧Trading can be easily diversified
‧Options expire hourly and daily
‧Options are not traded on secondary market

Finding a good broker is critical to your success. Not all brokers offer the same benefits. Check out several brokers and compare features before choosing a broker. The best brokers will have an out of the money feature that pays up to 15% when an option expires out of the money.

Higher returns are a primary advantage of binary options. Traders can profit as much as 80% on a single trade.

Another benefit is the amazingly quick returns that are possible. Traders can realise big returns in as little as one hour.

Binary options trading is becoming more popular because of the unique advantages not found in other forms of trading. Traders are finding that trading binary options is simpler and virtually stress-free, two major advantages in the world of investing.

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Apple Magic Mouse

Apple Magic MouseIt began with iPhone. Then came iPod touch. Then MacBook Pro. Intuitive, smart, dynamic. Multi-Touch technology introduced a remarkably better way to interact with your portable devices - all using gestures. Now we've reached another milestone by bringing gestures to the desktop with a mouse that's unlike anything ever before. It's called Magic Mouse. It's the world's first Multi-Touch mouse. And while it comes standard with every new iMac, you can also add it to any Bluetooth-enabled Mac for a Multi-Touch makeover.

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TurboTax Deluxe Federal + e-File + State 2010 [Download]

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Skil 2352-01 3.6-Volt Lithium-Ion Multi-CutterThe lithium ion power cutter holds a charge for up to 18 months. Cuts through hundreds of materials including: Carpet, plastic packaging, fabric, leather, paper, cardboard, vinyl flooring, wallpaper, and more. Cuts up to 1 4" thick materials. The auto sha

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Stackers Trading - Options Trading and Stock Trading Membership Service based on the profit point prolific Stackers Trading System. Members receive stock & options trading signals based on two levels of Service. Affiliates get 50% reoccurring revenue.


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Relative Values [VHS]

Relative Values [VHS]Dirk Bogarde risked his career to make this 1962 film about a lawyer who risks his career to stand up to blackmailers. Part crime thriller and part plea for tolerance, Victim uses the terror of a blackmailing ring to point out the injustice of Britain's antisodomy laws. Bogarde plays Melville Farr, a married lawyer who learns of a blackmail scheme when one of its victims, an old friend, commits suicide rather than tell the police. As Farr conducts an investigation, he must confront his own past. Victim was ahead of its time--it was the first English-language movie to use the word "homosexual"--and as such it seems quaint and stilted at times. Straw-man cliches about homosexuality must be knocked down, and, like in all first-wave issue movies, occasionally characters need to have rather stilted debates. Still, the crime plot stands on its own, the performances are excellent, and the film is brave enough to make some very good points. This is an interesting and worthy bit of cinematic history. --Ali Davis

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2011/07/07

The Big Picture for Small Businesses: Recent Data Suggests Small Businesses Remained Challenged

On June 14th The National Federation of Independent Businesses ("NFIB") released its monthly survey of Small Business Economic Trends and there were a few interesting insights that I wanted to share. The NFIB is a member organization that represents more than 300,000 small businesses in the United States, ranging from sole proprietors to businesses with hundreds of employees. It is important to understand the economic conditions for small businesses because they constitute such a large proportion of the employment base of the economy.

The NFIB survey of Small Business Economic Trends, as reported through the month of May, yielded the following insights:
Sales: 25% of all small businesses reported that their top business problem was having weak sales. It's not simply a question of slow growth, but rather a matter of continual decline. There are still more small businesses that are reporting declining sales than those reporting growing sales, so the trend is still negative.Credit Availability: Access to credit is not one of the most pressing problems for most small businesses. In fact, only 3% reported that credit access & financing were their top problem, and 92% responded that they had no credit problems or additional financing needs of any kind. (In a survey last year, most business owners stated that they wouldn't borrow money even if it were free because they still wouldn't have the end demand to justify the increased headcount and new equipment.)Employment: On a seasonally-adjusted basis, there are more businesses that intend to reduce their workforce over than next 3 months than those that plan to hire new workers. This is a disturbing change in the trend, as this is the first month since September of 2010 that there were more small businesses planning to lay-off employees than to hire them.Inflation: 10% of small businesses reported inflation as being their biggest problem, the highest percentage of businesses reporting that inflation was a problem since before the credit crisis. Even more interesting, 31% of all small businesses reported that they are raising their average selling prices for their goods or services, with only 16% reporting that they are lowering prices. This is another change in the trend as small businesses had been cutting prices during the previous two years.

So, putting this all together we see that the average small business has declining sales, is laying-off employees, and is raising prices for its goods & services. These are interesting and unusual business dynamics. A business that is facing declining revenue generally doesn't resort to price increases to solve its problems!

Sadly, this may be a reflection of the fact that many small businesses are facing significant cost pressures and declining revenues at the same time, but since most small businesses have lean operations to begin with, they may be left with no alternative but to finally pass rising cost pressures through to the end buyer, even in the face of declining sales. Additional recent data is consistent with this view. On June 15th the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that its measure of "core inflation" had risen more than expected, suggesting that inflationary conditions may be moving beyond food and energy prices and are now spreading to the broader economy.

During the past few years of recession and crisis, the government response has relied on 4 basic strategies: maintain extremely low interest rates, maintain high levels of deficit spending to fill the gap in private demand, create tax incentives for consumers to buy goods, and provide tax incentives for businesses to hire employees and buy equipment. However, it's readily apparent that most businesses don't want to borrow money or hire employees because consumers don't want to buy more goods or services. In fact, many consumers are trying to save money for the first time in many years. Also on June 15th - one day after the NFIB survey - a poll from NBC News/Wall Street Journal indicated that almost half of all Americans believe the U.S. economy is headed back into recession. Regardless of whether or not these respondents turn out to be correct, their own behavior is no doubt one of the reasons for our continued slow economy. People who fear recession are likely to save more and spend less, so to a certain extent the fear of an impending recession has a self-fulfilling effect.

It's fair to question if our government's policies have exceeded their usefulness and may be working in a counterproductive manner at this point. For example, if low interest rates do not stimulate credit growth, but do stimulate asset price inflation and higher commodity prices, then it's certainly reasonable to question if we are deriving a net benefit from current monetary policy. I'm not sure that we are.

At a broader level, the recent small business survey continues to support a rather pessimistic outlook for the remainder of this year. The economic recovery is anemic, small businesses are under extraordinary pressure, energy and food prices are higher, government stimulus is expiring, quantitative easing is coming to an end, state and local governments are cutting spending and laying-off employees and now the federal government appears poised to implement some fiscal restraint of its own. Two years into the recovery, the economy may be approaching a stall point.

Ian McAbeer is the President of Blackhaw Wealth Management, a Financial Advisor and Registered Investment Advisor providing portfolio management services to individuals, families, trusts and foundations. If you enjoyed this article please explore our website to see our past publications and to sign up for our financial blog.


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NHL Men's Boston Bruins 2011 Stanley Cup Champions Official Locker Room Hat

NHL Men's Boston Bruins 2011 Stanley Cup Champions Official Locker Room Hat
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DC Stock Mens Shoes

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Captain America Shield

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Gunsmoke - The Last Apache [VHS]

Gunsmoke - The Last Apache [VHS]The first of two features Walt Disney made at the behest of the Office of Inter-American Affairs, Saludos Amigos consists of four cartoons linked by live-action travel footage. The very funny "Lake Titicaca" finds Donald Duck high in the Bolivian Andes, struggling with a recalcitrant llama. "Pedro," the story of a little airplane replacing his father on a mail run across the Andes, is a variation on "The Little Engine That Could." "El Gaucho Goofy" continues the popular "How To" cartoon series that juxtaposes a deadpan narration with increasing physical mayhem. Here, Goofy demonstrates Pampas-style riding and the use of the bola. The jaunty parrot Jose Carioca makes his debut in "Aquarela do Brasil." Although largely eclipsed by the wilder The Three Caballeros (1944), Saludos Amigos retains its charm. Included in the supplemental material is South of the Border with Disney, which chronicles the Good Will Tour Walt and a group of his artists made in 1941. The 16mm footage has darkened, but this featurette offers rare glimpses of some of these artists at work, including Frank Thomas, Norm Ferguson, and Mary Blair, whose stylized drawings set the look for much of Saludos Amigos and Caballeros. --Charles Solomon

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Shadowland

ShadowlandPulling out all the Nashville stops, k.d. lang's 1988 album is a meticulously crafted work, her bid for mainstream country acceptance, and an homage to her idol Patsy Cline. Surrounded by the brilliance of Owen Bradley's string-laced production and a host of legendary pickers (Buddy Emmons and Pete Wade) and singers (Kitty Wells, Brenda Lee, Loretta Lynn), lang's voice soars and moans like a dove. After the lush Chris Isaak-penned opener "Western Stars," lang follows with more-familiar country writers, from Roger Miller ("Lock, Stock and Teardrops") to Harlan Howard ("I'm Down to My Last Cigarette"). Both a commercial (the album went gold) and artistic success, Shadowland ranks as one of the best country records of the 1980s. --Roy Francis Kasten

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2011/07/06

Bulls ready to charge into a wall of worry (Reuters)

NEW YORK (Reuters) – A bounce could be in the cards for stocks next week as bulls defend a key technical level and managers buy the quarter's winners to prop up their books.

But gains coming from healthcare, staples or other defensive sectors that have outperformed the market in the last several months would only support the notion that the U.S. stock market needs to complete its correction phase and panic selling must occur before a more sustained comeback develops.

"We want to see more fear," said Ari Wald, equity strategist at Brown Brothers Harriman in New York.

But be careful what you wish for.

The sources of the recent decline, including Greece's slow march toward a default on its debt, weak U.S. economic data and the creeping deadline to lift the U.S. debt ceiling, are far from being resolved.

HOLDING THE 200-DAY SHOWS THE WAY

Despite a drop that dragged the S&P 500 as much as 8.2 percent below its three-year high hit in early May, the index held above its 200-day moving average -- a major line in the sand as the bulls and bears battle for control of the market.

The slide had been telegraphed for weeks and the market's by-the-book performance -- pulling back to a widely followed level -- seems too well choreographed for some analysts.

"The fact that we went to the 200-day ... seems just a little too perfect," said Marc Pado, U.S. market strategist at Cantor Fitzgerald & Co in San Francisco.

He said the timing of the move was supportive, as the market creates a technical base before resuming its upward move on the back of strong earnings.

"You might get an attempt at a shakeout move," Pado said. "But sometimes the majority is right."

Even if they are right, they don't seem too convinced. So far this quarter -- on track to be the first in the red for the S&P 500 in the last year -- daily volume on the New York Stock Exchange, NYSE Amex and Nasdaq has averaged 7.22 billion shares.

That is down from the 7.94 billion shares traded daily during the first quarter, when the S&P 500 gained 5.4 percent. Commitment to the market has waned. The frantic selling, the flushing down of day traders seems absent so far in this corrective phase.

Despite holding above that level, the market has not cleared the danger zone of dipping under its 200-day average. The curve has a steep slope, as the S&P 500 took roughly two years to notch a 100 percent advance from its March 2009 lows.

The 200-day moving average now stands at 1,263.47, less than 0.4 percent below the S&P 500's close on Friday.

"Every time you test a resistance or support level, you make it weaker," said Nicholas Colas, chief market strategist of the ConvergEx Group in New York. "It's almost like a piece of metal. Every time you hit it, it grows more fragile and that's why people are really worried the third or fourth time."

After three straight days of declines, the S&P 500 fell 0.24 percent for the week and finished at 1,268.45 -- its seventh decline in the last eight weeks.

The Dow industrials (.DJI) lost 0.58 percent for the week, closing on Friday at 11,934.58, while the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) rose 1.39 percent for the week to end at 2,652.89.

The next two weeks, before quarterly earnings season starts in earnest, could be marked by wild swings like the ones seen recently. On Thursday, after a market-friendly headline out of Greece, the S&P 500 posted its strongest comeback in almost a year, on days when the benchmark has fallen more than 1 percent.

From its session low on Thursday, the S&P 500 climbed more than 20 points into the close. The Dow's swing covered 233.79 points from its intraday low to session high on Thursday.

But buying interest waned on Friday. Aside from doubts about the passage in Athens' Parliament of higher taxes and service cuts, weak Italian banks also are scaring investors.

The Federal Reserve on Wednesday gave a bleak outlook on the economy, lowering its forecasts for GDP growth for both 2011 and 2012. And Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke found it hard to explain the sources of a so-called economic "soft patch" that seems to have become pervasive.

SUMMER STORM OF DATA

Besides the weekly jobless claims numbers, housing and manufacturing data will attract the most attention next week.

The S&P Case-Shiller April home prices index on Tuesday and the National Association of Realtors pending home sales for May on Wednesday could confirm the housing market's double dip.

Factory activity grew in May at its slowest pace since September 2009, according to the Institute for Supply Management, and Friday's ISM number for June is expected to drop to 51.9, indicating an even slower rate of growth.

New applications for unemployment insurance on Thursday are expected to land above 400,000 for a 12th straight week, according to economists polled by Reuters.

Personal income and consumption, out Monday, are expected to tick higher in May. Consumer confidence, out Tuesday from the Conference Board, is forecast at a June reading of 60.5, just a touch lower than May's 60.8, a Reuters poll showed. Despite a recent string of weak data in May, a sharp drop in crude oil prices is expected to buoy consumer confidence.

(Reporting by Rodrigo Campos; Additional reporting by Edward Krudy; Editing by Jan Paschal)


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Beating the Odds - Your Trading Edge

In arriving at a personal trading system that suits you and that you feel comfortable trading, there are various choices that you must make, as follows:

· Fundamental vs. Technical

· Long-term vs. Short-Term

· Discretionary vs. Mechanical

The choices shouldn't be considered strictly black or white; shades of gray are permissible - so for instance you may be a technical trader who uses fundamental analysis in arriving at the universe of stocks to be considered for purchase. However, one thing you do have to be sure of in order to have the confidence to trade your system is to know that it has a trading 'edge'.

Your edge

A Trading Edge is an advantage that allows your system to be traded profitably. As an example of a trading edge, consider the roulette wheel at a casino. The wheel has 36 numbers on which the house pays out, but it also has two slots numbered 0 on which all bets are lost. Therefore the house has a mathematical edge of 2/38, i.e. 5.26%. Of course in the short-term the number zero may come up less than expected, but according to the Law of Large Numbers over the long run it will perform as expected. If we spin the wheel 38,000 times, we can expect the number zero to come up very close to 2,000 times - the house has an inbuilt 'edge'. This is the reason that casinos have so many tables - over a large number of plays, despite the occasional punter who goes home happy there will be many more that won't, as the casino's edge will come into play.

Back-testing

How do you ensure that your system has a Trading Edge? You will not know for sure until you actually trade it, perhaps not necessarily with real money but rather paper trading it for a month or two, i.e. recording all the purchases and sales according to your system's rules but not actually placing the trades. However, you can get an idea of the best candidates for further research by back-testing. In a back-test, you apply your prospective system using historical data, and track the results. Many technical analysis software systems, such as Metastock or Telechart, allow you to back-test systems provided that you can clearly specify the rules, i.e. buy on next open when the 26/12 MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) line crosses the signal line. However, if your proposed system allows some discretion in whether you would take the trade or not, it is not possible to test it in this manner. The only way then would be to go to a stock chart, set your starting date as the last point visible on the right hand side of the chart, and then click forward one day at a time, noting whether you would buy, sell, or do nothing, according to your discretionary 'rules'.

Curve Fitting

One of the potential pitfalls to be aware of when backtesting is the practice of curve fitting. If you start off with one or two rules but end up with nine or ten exceptions, additional rules which if followed improve the results, then you are curve fitting. You will have arrived at a set of rules which may work very well with this set of data, but may not work when you try to apply it in practice. A good practice is to retain a set of 'out of sample' data on which you can test your optimized trading rules. So, for instance, you might optimize a system on the previous five years' data, and then test it on the five years before that. The basic rule of thumb when designing a trading system is 'the fewer rules the better' - always try to keep it simple.

Mick Brooks is an educator, a public speaker, and an avid stock market investor. As a UK-qualified CPA, he thought making money in the stock market would be easy, but his 'education' cost him around $30,000, so now he makes it his goal to help others to avoid replicating the more obvious mistakes. Visit his website, http://www.beginning-investing.net/ for more advice and information, and don't forget to pick up your FREE copy of the 'Investing Secrets - Day Trading' report!


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quoTrader - Trading Stocks At The Max

Trading system for swing traders, active investors and also daytraders eyeing to hold positions overnight. Solid product without annoying marketing tricks. The quoTrader system works with stocks, pennystocks and ETFs and beats Forex, futures and options.


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Penny Stocks Psychic - Selling Like Candy - 1 In 3 Conversions!

The much anticipated Penny Stocks Psychic is finally Live! Stock Picks are provided by a 10 year veteran stock trader. Pinpoint Accuracy, over a 90% strike rate. Don't miss out on the Hottest Launch of 2010. We are converting at unheard of 1 In 3!


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Polk Audio DB651 6.5-Inch Coaxial Speakers (Pair, Silver)

Polk Audio DB651 6.5-Inch Coaxial Speakers (Pair, Silver)
  • 6-1/2" 2-way car speakers (pair)
  • supplied adapter rings allow for fit into 6-3/4" locations
  • Dynamic Balance polymer/mica composite woofer with butyl rubber surround
  • 3/4" liquid-cooled silk/polymer composite dome tweeter
  • Neodymium tweeter magnet
  • Kapton voice coil
  • ABS wheel-design grilles
  • Stainless steel mounting hardware
  • Certified for marine use
  • Power range: 6-60 watts RMS (180 watts peak power)
  • Frequency response: 35-22,000 Hz
  • Sensitivity: 92 dB
  • Top-mount depth: 1-11/16"
  • Warranty: 1 year

    Price: $119.95


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  • 2011/07/05

    Black Large Vicky Zebra Print Faux Leather Satchel Bag Handbag Purse

    Black Large Vicky Zebra Print Faux Leather Satchel Bag Handbag PurseOne of our favorite accessories. Clean lines, neat stitching and durable faux leather make this tote a sophisticated must-have for everyday use.

    Price: $91.98


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    Penny Stocks Formula - Top Aff Earning Over $1k Daily - 75% Comm

    Penny Stocks Formula is the Hottest penny stock alert service on the net with over a 85% accuracy rate. Very Low refund rates of 4.38%. Converting Like Candy (1 in 8). Earn Up to $100 Per Sale... http://www.PennyStocksFormula.com/jv.html


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    Jay DeVincentis' Daily Stock Barometer

    New Sales Page - converts 8x better! Daily stock market advisory giving buy and sell signals for the stock market, including the nasdaq, gold, dollar, oil, and bonds.


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    Penny Stocks Kit - Affiliates Earn $22/sale

    Unique Penny Stocks Course w/ New High Converting Sales Page. Complete w/ Affiliate Promotional Banners, Keywords, Emails, Forum Signatures etc.


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    Products That Last

    Changing your store location is a true nightmare for almost anyone in any business. The amount of time and money that goes into packing things up getting them moved to the new location in one piece, and unpacking them is difficult enough, but it's doesn't compare to the choices you have to make before packing up and before moving in.

    Choosing a new location is something that requires a lot of patience and judgment. Whether you're moving to a better or bigger location, or whether you're downsizing, you have to think about the new challenges and opportunities that a move has to offer. You have first and foremost a great opportunity to redecorate or redesign your new location. The little details that might have been very time consuming in your previous store are things that you can pay attention to when moving, now that you have the time and space to sort things out properly.

    But what I'm going to talk about today is not concerned with the advantages of moving, I will talk about the process of prioritizing the items that have to be salvaged from your old location that will be beneficial for your new place.

    The example I will bring is drawn from my sisters business. She owns a specialty clothing boutique. She sells exotic dresses and super expensive clothing that she gets right off the models in shows from Milan to Paris to New York City. (I personally don't know why people buy suck crazy looking expensive clothing, but that's just me.)

    After a few years of hard work and a bit of luck her store started to make a significant profit. She built her customer base and advertised in the rite places. It go to a point where she need to expand.

    So I went to help her pack things up. The things that accumulate in the basement of a clothing store would blow your mind! Old clothing, boxes of every shape and size, dress forms, mannequins, hangers, the list does not end. My sister wanted to through everything out. Not the clothing of course but she wanted to start her new place from scratch. This is where I stepped in.

    The mannequins and dress form I forced her to save. These are things that last a lifetime! They don't get old and they don't loss there effect. Angers and boxes and old decorations I let her part with. But the things that last forever should never be thrown out.

    This is what you need to bear in mind. Don't think that because you want to do something new that you have to get rid of everything old. There are some things that last and they should be take advantage of. You can save money and aggravation but taking your time to get down to prioritizing the keeps and the don't keeps.


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    DC Stock - Men's

    DC Stock - Men'sThere's nothing stock about this uncompromising monster of a skate shoe. Stock up now! Heavy duty suede upper. Perforated upper panel. Upper vent holes. Custom metal eyelets. Foam padded tongue and collar for extra comfort. Fitted tongue holders. Abrasion resistant sticky rubber outsole. Performance wrap cupsole. Imported.

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    2011/07/04

    Benecol Smart Chews, Caramel, 120-Count Soft Chews

    Benecol Smart Chews, Caramel, 120-Count Soft ChewsBenecolR Smart Chews ~ Proven to Reduce Cholesterol
    Take twice a day to Reduce Cholesterol
    Feel in control with BenecolR Smart Chews, a delicious and convenient way to lower cholesterol. Enjoy two to four great-tasting chews a day with meals and you will start to see results in as little as two weeks!
    About BenecolR Smart Chews
    Plant Stanol Esters are derived from natural plant sources and found only in BenecolR products
    Proven to reduce your LDL "bad" cholesterol
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    Be sweet to yourself and your heart...BenecolR Smart Chews!
    Join Club BenecolR
    Take even more control over your healthy lifestyle and join Club BenecolR for more information about BenecolR Products. By signing up, you'll receive regular e-mail updates and Club member savings, new product information, and information on cholesterol management.
    Products containing 0.7g or more of Plant Stanol Esters per serving taken twice a day with meals for a daily intake of at least 1.4g may reduce the risk of heart disease as part of a diet low in saturated fat and cholesterol. One BENECOLR Chew contains 0.7g of Plant Stanol Esters.

    Price: $29.99


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    Trading on Corporate Earnings News: Profiting from Targeted, Short-Term Options Positions

    Trading on Corporate Earnings News: Profiting from Targeted, Short-Term Options Positions

    This is the eBook version of the printed book.

    Profit from earnings announcements, by taking targeted, short-term option positions explicitly timed to exploit them! Based on rigorous research and huge data sets, this book identifies the specific earnings-announcement trades most likely to yield profits, and teaches how to make these trades—in plain English, with real examples!

    Price: $34.99


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